Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.003143 0.003515 0.003903 0.004337 0.004809 0.005306 0.005867
2024-10-06 0.002653 0.003188 0.003778 0.004473 0.005267 0.006140 0.007171
2024-10-13 0.002375 0.003006 0.003729 0.004611 0.005651 0.006831 0.008264
2024-10-20 0.002034 0.002700 0.003490 0.004485 0.005694 0.007102 0.008854
2024-10-27 0.001807 0.002503 0.003354 0.004457 0.005829 0.007464 0.009539
2024-11-03 0.001600 0.002307 0.003199 0.004383 0.005892 0.007726 0.010097
2024-11-10 0.001449 0.002169 0.003101 0.004369 0.006018 0.008057 0.010737
2024-11-17 0.001308 0.002031 0.002991 0.004327 0.006098 0.008326 0.011296
2024-11-24 0.001234 0.001978 0.002990 0.004422 0.006354 0.008817 0.012143
2024-12-01 0.001101 0.001830 0.002846 0.004317 0.006335 0.008950 0.012529
2024-12-08 0.001013 0.001741 0.002778 0.004308 0.006441 0.009243 0.013121
2024-12-15 0.000983 0.001734 0.002824 0.004457 0.006765 0.009827 0.014104
2024-12-22 0.000924 0.001682 0.002806 0.004518 0.006972 0.010268 0.014921
2024-12-29 0.000889 0.001665 0.002837 0.004651 0.007284 0.010857 0.015948
2025-01-05 0.000860 0.001653 0.002876 0.004793 0.007610 0.011472 0.017018
2025-01-12 0.000767 0.001531 0.002736 0.004664 0.007541 0.011538 0.017340
2025-01-19 0.000706 0.001456 0.002666 0.004634 0.007614 0.011797 0.017930
2025-01-26 0.000641 0.001368 0.002569 0.004558 0.007613 0.011952 0.018373
2025-02-02 0.000594 0.001309 0.002514 0.004544 0.007700 0.012230 0.018992
2025-02-09 0.000545 0.001242 0.002444 0.004500 0.007741 0.012440 0.019516
2025-02-16 0.000526 0.001229 0.002462 0.004599 0.007999 0.012969 0.020499
2025-02-23 0.000473 0.001146 0.002356 0.004490 0.007933 0.013020 0.020799
2025-03-02 0.000440 0.001101 0.002312 0.004480 0.008020 0.013297 0.021427